Tech Sergeant Promotion Rate Rises, But Pool of Eligibles Shrinks

The promotion rate for new technical sergeants inched up over last year to 26.59 percent, but the number getting promoted declined by more than 1,200.

Promotion data released June 22 shows 6,668 Airmen selected for promotion to tech sergeant out of a pool of 25,080, for a rate of 26.59 percent. The full list of selectees will be released June 25 and senior raters will get early access June 23. 

Overall, this year’s rate is up about a point from last year’s 25.62 percent, when more than 7,800 were promoted to E-6.

Tech sergeants, the last noncommissioned officer rank before Airmen become senior NCOs, are considered technical experts capable of “fostering a positive culture of trust within the organization,” according to Air University. Airmen typically become eligible between 10 to 12 years of service.  

But the pool of Airmen eligible changes over time. Some 36,913 Airmen were eligible in 2023, nearly a third more than the number eligible this year. That led to just 14.5 percent of eligible Airmen being selected that year—the lowest rate since the post-Cold War drawdown years—and total promotions were just 5,354. 

Factors affecting promotions and rates include retention, changing personnel requirements, and external economics. During the COVID-19 pandemic, retention rose amid national economic uncertainty; later, concerns about a shortage of experience in certain jobs drove a decision to build up the number of mid-rank NCOs in uniform. Those changes combined to yield historically low promotion rates. But today, rates are back near historic highs. 

Air Force Technical Sergeant Promotions



Selection Rate Chart 2007–2026


Selected


Eligible (not selected)




Selection rate %

Selected ranges from 5,354 (2023) to 9,467 (2019).
Eligible ranges from 25,080 (2026) to 39,797 (2007).
Selection rate ranges from 14.5% (2023) to 32.3% (2017).

YEAR SELECTED ELIGIBLE RATE
2026 6,668 25,080 26.59
2025 7,884 30,776 25.62
2024 6,914 35,328 19.57
2023 5,354 36,913 14.5
2022 5,430 33,935 16
2021 9,422 34,973 26.94
2020 8,246 28,358 29.08
2019 9,467 29,328 32.28
2018 8,416 27,555 30.54
2017 8,167 25,552 31.96
2016 7,501 33,569 22.35
2015 8,446 35,863 23.55
2014 6,684 38,344 17.43
2013 5,654 37,608 15.03
2012 8,518 37,402 22.77
2011 8,545 34,257 24.94
2010 7,752 37,185 20.85
2009 7,724 37,172 20.78
2008 7,110 38,324 18.55
2007 7,314 39,797 18.38

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